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Today’s Polls, 10/27
John McCain is making no progress in his pursuit of the White House. Our model now projects Barack Obama to win 351 electoral votes to John McCain’s 187, and to win the Electoral College 96.7 percent...
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On the Road: Raleigh, North Carolina
“Who was the most miserable person in the Olympics this year?” asked former Dallas mayor Ron Kirk of the assembled hundreds at Martin Luther King, Jr. Memorial Gardens on Sunday afternoon in Raleigh,...
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Today’s Polls, 10/28
Stop me if you’ve heard this one before. Although the national trackers look slightly stronger for John McCain than they did a couple days ago, Barack Obama once again had an exceptionally good day in...
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On the Road: Wilmington, North Carolina
Hillary Stookey wouldn’t tell us her age. “60 and holding” and a big smile was all we got. But on her birthday, Hillary Stookey canvassed Wilmington, North Carolina for Barack Obama from 1:30 until...
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Today’s Polls, 10/29
We’re getting to you a little bit late tonight, so let’s keep this short and to the point…With no fewer than 45 polls released since our last update, covering essentially all of the major swing states,...
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Today’s Polls, 10/30
Man, I thought I trained you guys better than this.There is a lot of consternation in my inbox about two polls. One, from Mason-Dixon, shows John McCain just 4 points down in Pennsylvania. The other,...
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Today’s Polls, 10/31
Is Pennsylvania John McCain’s last, best hope?Perhaps it is. But that speaks as much to McCain’s problems elsewhere on the map as any success he has had in the Keystone State. Pennsylvania does seem to...
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Today’s Polls, 11/2: Afternoon Edition
Polls conducted since our update last evening suggest some tightening toward John McCain, but he sits well behind both nationwide and in many key battleground states and remains a long-shot to win the...
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Today’s Polls, 11/3 (PM Edition)
With fewer than six hours until voting begins in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, the national polling picture has cleared up considerably. Barack Obama is on the verge of a victory, perhaps a decisive...
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Hagan Beats Dole in North Carolina
Kay Hagan takes another Senate seat for Dems.Score one for the Godless American Sunday school teacher.This is the third Democratic Senate pickup of the night; Warner (VA), Shaheen (NH), and Hagan...
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More Updates on MT, MO, NC, IN
Montana: Gallatin, where Bozeman is, has 0% reporting. That county should favor McCain. McCain appears to be narrowly holding Yellowstone, where Billings is. But Montana is ultratight and will go...
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State Legislative Partisan Gains Since the Republican Revolution
Continuing my series of posts about changing partisan control of state legislatures, I was curious to see how much progress on a state-by-state basis the two parties made in the 12 years since 1994’s...
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Monday Miscellany
— Recruitment efforts are becoming seriously problematic for the Democrats. Take North Carolina, for instance, where former State Senator Cal Cunningham now says he won’t run to challenge Richard Burr,...
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NC Runoff, Coats and Fisher Win Amid Light Turnout
A quick roundup of primary results tonight from the Senate primaries in Ohio, North Carolina and Indiana:Starting in North Carolina, the Democratic Senate primary to determine who will face Republican...
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Senate Forecast: After Primaries, Picture Slightly Improved for Dems
It’s been about two months since we last issued a Senate forecast and now I remember why: these things take a whole day of work. So let’s not waste any further time; here are some emerging themes that...
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North Carolina’s Ban on Gay Marriage Appears Likely to Pass
On Tuesday, North Carolina will vote on a state constitutional amendment that declares, “Marriage between one man and one woman is the only domestic legal union that shall be valid or recognized,”...
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In North Carolina, Obama’s 2008 Victory Was Ahead of Schedule
We continue our Presidential Geography series, a one-by-one examination of the peculiarities that drive the politics in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Here, a look at North Carolina, the...
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GOP Establishment Looks Set to Win a Bunch of Senate Primaries
Over the past few years, conservative outsiders, many of whom were members of the tea party, ran over the establishment in a number of key Republican primaries for the U.S. Senate. In 2010,...
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Which States Are in the South?
On Tuesday, we published the results of a SurveyMonkey Audience poll about which states people think compose the Midwest. The answer is, essentially, that nobody seems to know — not even self-avowed...
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Senate Update: Exit To Recountland
Republicans got favorable news in Georgia on Tuesday, where a Monmouth University poll put their candidate, David Perdue, eight points ahead of the Democrat Michelle Nunn. The poll is something of an...
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